Tuesday, November 22, 2011

BCS Chances: West Virginia

This post is a continuation of 128 Big East Outcomes and explores the 27 scenarios (of 128) where West Virginia would obtain the Big East's BCS bid. As a reminder, the following is a breakdown of the remaining scenarios by the team that obtains the BCS bid:

Louisville: 37 (28.90625%)
Rutgers: 37 (28.90625%)
West Virginia: 27 (21.09375%)
Cincinnati: 13 (10.15625%)
Pittsburgh: 14 (10.9375%)

Without further ado, West Virginia's chances...
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WEST VIRGINIA (27 of 128):
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SCENARIO 1:
BCS Bid: 
 West Virginia
EXPLANATION: 
 The following teams are tied for the best conference record in the Big East:
Cincinnati (5-2)
West Virginia (5-2)
Louisville (5-2)

Within the group, the following teams have identical head-to-head records:
Cincinnati (1-1)
West Virginia (1-1)
Louisville (1-1)

In this case, the BCS ranking determines the BCS bowl representative. Several factors including overall record, longest active win streak, and current rankings are used to predict the final BCS poll.

Of those with identical head-to-head records, the following teams are also tied for best overall season records:
West Virginia (9-3)
Cincinnati (9-3)

However, West Virginia has the longest winning streak (3 wins) among those teams, and is therefore is most likely to have the highest BCS rating and receive the BCS bid.
FULL RESULT: 
 Team                            Week 12                         Week 13                         

Cincinnati (9-3, 5-2)           W at Syracuse (8-3, 4-2)        W vs Connecticut (9-3, 5-2)     
Louisville (7-5, 5-2)           W at South Florida (7-5, 5-2)   --Bye Week--                    
West Virginia (9-3, 5-2)        W vs Pittsburgh (8-3, 4-2)      W at South Florida (9-3, 5-2)   
Rutgers (8-4, 4-3)              L at Connecticut (8-4, 4-3)     --Bye Week--                    
Connecticut (5-7, 3-4)          W vs Rutgers (5-6, 3-3)         L at Cincinnati (5-7, 3-4)      
Pittsburgh (5-7, 3-4)           L at West Virginia (5-6, 3-3)   L vs Syracuse (5-7, 3-4)        
Syracuse (6-6, 2-5)             L vs Cincinnati (5-6, 1-5)      W at Pittsburgh (6-6, 2-5)      
South Florida (5-7, 1-7)        L vs Louisville (5-6, 1-6)      L vs West Virginia (5-7, 1-7)   


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SCENARIO 2:
BCS Bid: 
 West Virginia
EXPLANATION: 
 West Virginia has the best Big East conference record (5-2)
FULL RESULT: 
 Team                            Week 12                         Week 13                         

West Virginia (9-3, 5-2)        W vs Pittsburgh (8-3, 4-2)      W at South Florida (9-3, 5-2)   
Connecticut (6-6, 4-3)          W vs Rutgers (5-6, 3-3)         W at Cincinnati (6-6, 4-3)      
Louisville (6-6, 4-3)           L at South Florida (6-6, 4-3)   --Bye Week--                    
Pittsburgh (6-6, 4-3)           L at West Virginia (5-6, 3-3)   W vs Syracuse (6-6, 4-3)        
Rutgers (8-4, 4-3)              L at Connecticut (8-4, 4-3)     --Bye Week--                    
Cincinnati (7-5, 3-4)           L at Syracuse (7-4, 3-3)        L vs Connecticut (7-5, 3-4)     
South Florida (6-6, 2-6)        W vs Louisville (6-5, 2-5)      L vs West Virginia (6-6, 2-6)   
Syracuse (6-6, 2-5)             W vs Cincinnati (6-5, 2-4)      L at Pittsburgh (6-6, 2-5)      


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SCENARIO 3:
BCS Bid: 
 West Virginia
EXPLANATION: 
 The following teams are tied for the best conference record in the Big East:
Rutgers (4-3)
West Virginia (4-3)
Connecticut (4-3)
Louisville (4-3)
Pittsburgh (4-3)

Within the group, the following teams have identical head-to-head records:
West Virginia (3-1)
Louisville (3-1)

In this case, the BCS ranking determines the BCS bowl representative. Several factors including overall record, longest active win streak, and current rankings are used to predict the final BCS poll.

However, West Virginia has the best overall record (8-4) among those teams, and is therefore is most likely to have the highest BCS rating and receive the BCS bid.
FULL RESULT: 
 Team                            Week 12                         Week 13                         

Connecticut (6-6, 4-3)          W vs Rutgers (5-6, 3-3)         W at Cincinnati (6-6, 4-3)      
Louisville (6-6, 4-3)           L at South Florida (6-6, 4-3)   --Bye Week--                    
Pittsburgh (6-6, 4-3)           L at West Virginia (5-6, 3-3)   W vs Syracuse (6-6, 4-3)        
Rutgers (8-4, 4-3)              L at Connecticut (8-4, 4-3)     --Bye Week--                    
West Virginia (8-4, 4-3)        W vs Pittsburgh (8-3, 4-2)      L at South Florida (8-4, 4-3)   
Cincinnati (7-5, 3-4)           L at Syracuse (7-4, 3-3)        L vs Connecticut (7-5, 3-4)     
South Florida (7-5, 3-5)        W vs Louisville (6-5, 2-5)      W vs West Virginia (7-5, 3-5)   
Syracuse (6-6, 2-5)             W vs Cincinnati (6-5, 2-4)      L at Pittsburgh (6-6, 2-5)      


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SCENARIO 4:
BCS Bid: 
 West Virginia
EXPLANATION: 
 The following teams are tied for the best conference record in the Big East:
Cincinnati (5-2)
Rutgers (5-2)
West Virginia (5-2)

West Virginia has the best head-to-head record (2-0) among the group and therefore receives the BCS bid:
West Virginia (2-0)
Rutgers (1-1)
Cincinnati (0-2)
FULL RESULT: 
 Team                            Week 12                         Week 13                         

Cincinnati (9-3, 5-2)           W at Syracuse (8-3, 4-2)        W vs Connecticut (9-3, 5-2)     
Rutgers (9-3, 5-2)              W at Connecticut (9-3, 5-2)     --Bye Week--                    
West Virginia (9-3, 5-2)        W vs Pittsburgh (8-3, 4-2)      W at South Florida (9-3, 5-2)   
Louisville (6-6, 4-3)           L at South Florida (6-6, 4-3)   --Bye Week--                    
Pittsburgh (6-6, 4-3)           L at West Virginia (5-6, 3-3)   W vs Syracuse (6-6, 4-3)        
Connecticut (4-8, 2-5)          L vs Rutgers (4-7, 2-4)         L at Cincinnati (4-8, 2-5)      
South Florida (6-6, 2-6)        W vs Louisville (6-5, 2-5)      L vs West Virginia (6-6, 2-6)   
Syracuse (5-7, 1-6)             L vs Cincinnati (5-6, 1-5)      L at Pittsburgh (5-7, 1-6)      


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SCENARIO 5:
BCS Bid: 
 West Virginia
EXPLANATION: 
 West Virginia has the best Big East conference record (5-2)
FULL RESULT: 
 Team                            Week 12                         Week 13                         

West Virginia (9-3, 5-2)        W vs Pittsburgh (8-3, 4-2)      W at South Florida (9-3, 5-2)   
Cincinnati (8-4, 4-3)           L at Syracuse (7-4, 3-3)        W vs Connecticut (8-4, 4-3)     
Louisville (6-6, 4-3)           L at South Florida (6-6, 4-3)   --Bye Week--                    
Pittsburgh (6-6, 4-3)           L at West Virginia (5-6, 3-3)   W vs Syracuse (6-6, 4-3)        
Rutgers (8-4, 4-3)              L at Connecticut (8-4, 4-3)     --Bye Week--                    
Connecticut (5-7, 3-4)          W vs Rutgers (5-6, 3-3)         L at Cincinnati (5-7, 3-4)      
South Florida (6-6, 2-6)        W vs Louisville (6-5, 2-5)      L vs West Virginia (6-6, 2-6)   
Syracuse (6-6, 2-5)             W vs Cincinnati (6-5, 2-4)      L at Pittsburgh (6-6, 2-5)      


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SCENARIO 6:
BCS Bid: 
 West Virginia
EXPLANATION: 
 West Virginia and Rutgers are tied in the Big East conference standings (5-2). However, West Virginia won the head-to-head matchup during the regular season and receives the BCS bid.
FULL RESULT: 
 Team                            Week 12                         Week 13                         

Rutgers (9-3, 5-2)              W at Connecticut (9-3, 5-2)     --Bye Week--                    
West Virginia (9-3, 5-2)        W vs Pittsburgh (8-3, 4-2)      W at South Florida (9-3, 5-2)   
Louisville (6-6, 4-3)           L at South Florida (6-6, 4-3)   --Bye Week--                    
Cincinnati (7-5, 3-4)           L at Syracuse (7-4, 3-3)        L vs Connecticut (7-5, 3-4)     
Connecticut (5-7, 3-4)          L vs Rutgers (4-7, 2-4)         W at Cincinnati (5-7, 3-4)      
Pittsburgh (5-7, 3-4)           L at West Virginia (5-6, 3-3)   L vs Syracuse (5-7, 3-4)        
Syracuse (7-5, 3-4)             W vs Cincinnati (6-5, 2-4)      W at Pittsburgh (7-5, 3-4)      
South Florida (6-6, 2-6)        W vs Louisville (6-5, 2-5)      L vs West Virginia (6-6, 2-6)   


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SCENARIO 7:
BCS Bid: 
 West Virginia
EXPLANATION: 
 The following teams are tied for the best conference record in the Big East:
Cincinnati (5-2)
Rutgers (5-2)
West Virginia (5-2)
Louisville (5-2)

Within the group, the following teams have identical head-to-head records:
West Virginia (2-1)
Louisville (2-1)

In this case, the BCS ranking determines the BCS bowl representative. Several factors including overall record, longest active win streak, and current rankings are used to predict the final BCS poll.

However, West Virginia has the best overall record (9-3) among those teams, and is therefore is most likely to have the highest BCS rating and receive the BCS bid.
FULL RESULT: 
 Team                            Week 12                         Week 13                         

Cincinnati (9-3, 5-2)           W at Syracuse (8-3, 4-2)        W vs Connecticut (9-3, 5-2)     
Louisville (7-5, 5-2)           W at South Florida (7-5, 5-2)   --Bye Week--                    
Rutgers (9-3, 5-2)              W at Connecticut (9-3, 5-2)     --Bye Week--                    
West Virginia (9-3, 5-2)        W vs Pittsburgh (8-3, 4-2)      W at South Florida (9-3, 5-2)   
Pittsburgh (6-6, 4-3)           L at West Virginia (5-6, 3-3)   W vs Syracuse (6-6, 4-3)        
Connecticut (4-8, 2-5)          L vs Rutgers (4-7, 2-4)         L at Cincinnati (4-8, 2-5)      
South Florida (5-7, 1-7)        L vs Louisville (5-6, 1-6)      L vs West Virginia (5-7, 1-7)   
Syracuse (5-7, 1-6)             L vs Cincinnati (5-6, 1-5)      L at Pittsburgh (5-7, 1-6)      


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SCENARIO 8:
BCS Bid: 
 West Virginia
EXPLANATION: 
 The following teams are tied for the best conference record in the Big East:
Cincinnati (4-3)
Rutgers (4-3)
West Virginia (4-3)
Connecticut (4-3)
Louisville (4-3)

Within the group, the following teams have identical head-to-head records:
West Virginia (3-1)
Louisville (3-1)

In this case, the BCS ranking determines the BCS bowl representative. Several factors including overall record, longest active win streak, and current rankings are used to predict the final BCS poll.

However, West Virginia has the best overall record (8-4) among those teams, and is therefore is most likely to have the highest BCS rating and receive the BCS bid.
FULL RESULT: 
 Team                            Week 12                         Week 13                         

Cincinnati (8-4, 4-3)           W at Syracuse (8-3, 4-2)        L vs Connecticut (8-4, 4-3)     
Connecticut (6-6, 4-3)          W vs Rutgers (5-6, 3-3)         W at Cincinnati (6-6, 4-3)      
Louisville (6-6, 4-3)           L at South Florida (6-6, 4-3)   --Bye Week--                    
Rutgers (8-4, 4-3)              L at Connecticut (8-4, 4-3)     --Bye Week--                    
West Virginia (8-4, 4-3)        W vs Pittsburgh (8-3, 4-2)      L at South Florida (8-4, 4-3)   
Pittsburgh (5-7, 3-4)           L at West Virginia (5-6, 3-3)   L vs Syracuse (5-7, 3-4)        
South Florida (7-5, 3-5)        W vs Louisville (6-5, 2-5)      W vs West Virginia (7-5, 3-5)   
Syracuse (6-6, 2-5)             L vs Cincinnati (5-6, 1-5)      W at Pittsburgh (6-6, 2-5)      


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SCENARIO 9:
BCS Bid: 
 West Virginia
EXPLANATION: 
 The following teams are tied for the best conference record in the Big East:
Cincinnati (5-2)
Rutgers (5-2)
West Virginia (5-2)
Louisville (5-2)

Within the group, the following teams have identical head-to-head records:
West Virginia (2-1)
Louisville (2-1)

In this case, the BCS ranking determines the BCS bowl representative. Several factors including overall record, longest active win streak, and current rankings are used to predict the final BCS poll.

However, West Virginia has the best overall record (9-3) among those teams, and is therefore is most likely to have the highest BCS rating and receive the BCS bid.
FULL RESULT: 
 Team                            Week 12                         Week 13                         

Cincinnati (9-3, 5-2)           W at Syracuse (8-3, 4-2)        W vs Connecticut (9-3, 5-2)     
Louisville (7-5, 5-2)           W at South Florida (7-5, 5-2)   --Bye Week--                    
Rutgers (9-3, 5-2)              W at Connecticut (9-3, 5-2)     --Bye Week--                    
West Virginia (9-3, 5-2)        W vs Pittsburgh (8-3, 4-2)      W at South Florida (9-3, 5-2)   
Pittsburgh (5-7, 3-4)           L at West Virginia (5-6, 3-3)   L vs Syracuse (5-7, 3-4)        
Connecticut (4-8, 2-5)          L vs Rutgers (4-7, 2-4)         L at Cincinnati (4-8, 2-5)      
Syracuse (6-6, 2-5)             L vs Cincinnati (5-6, 1-5)      W at Pittsburgh (6-6, 2-5)      
South Florida (5-7, 1-7)        L vs Louisville (5-6, 1-6)      L vs West Virginia (5-7, 1-7)   


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SCENARIO 10:
BCS Bid: 
 West Virginia
EXPLANATION: 
 West Virginia and Rutgers are tied in the Big East conference standings (5-2). However, West Virginia won the head-to-head matchup during the regular season and receives the BCS bid.
FULL RESULT: 
 Team                            Week 12                         Week 13                         

Rutgers (9-3, 5-2)              W at Connecticut (9-3, 5-2)     --Bye Week--                    
West Virginia (9-3, 5-2)        W vs Pittsburgh (8-3, 4-2)      W at South Florida (9-3, 5-2)   
Louisville (6-6, 4-3)           L at South Florida (6-6, 4-3)   --Bye Week--                    
Pittsburgh (6-6, 4-3)           L at West Virginia (5-6, 3-3)   W vs Syracuse (6-6, 4-3)        
Cincinnati (7-5, 3-4)           L at Syracuse (7-4, 3-3)        L vs Connecticut (7-5, 3-4)     
Connecticut (5-7, 3-4)          L vs Rutgers (4-7, 2-4)         W at Cincinnati (5-7, 3-4)      
South Florida (6-6, 2-6)        W vs Louisville (6-5, 2-5)      L vs West Virginia (6-6, 2-6)   
Syracuse (6-6, 2-5)             W vs Cincinnati (6-5, 2-4)      L at Pittsburgh (6-6, 2-5)      


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SCENARIO 11:
BCS Bid: 
 West Virginia
EXPLANATION: 
 The following teams are tied for the best conference record in the Big East:
Cincinnati (5-2)
West Virginia (5-2)
Louisville (5-2)

Within the group, the following teams have identical head-to-head records:
Cincinnati (1-1)
West Virginia (1-1)
Louisville (1-1)

In this case, the BCS ranking determines the BCS bowl representative. Several factors including overall record, longest active win streak, and current rankings are used to predict the final BCS poll.

Of those with identical head-to-head records, the following teams are also tied for best overall season records:
West Virginia (9-3)
Cincinnati (9-3)

However, West Virginia has the longest winning streak (3 wins) among those teams, and is therefore is most likely to have the highest BCS rating and receive the BCS bid.
FULL RESULT: 
 Team                            Week 12                         Week 13                         

Cincinnati (9-3, 5-2)           W at Syracuse (8-3, 4-2)        W vs Connecticut (9-3, 5-2)     
Louisville (7-5, 5-2)           W at South Florida (7-5, 5-2)   --Bye Week--                    
West Virginia (9-3, 5-2)        W vs Pittsburgh (8-3, 4-2)      W at South Florida (9-3, 5-2)   
Pittsburgh (6-6, 4-3)           L at West Virginia (5-6, 3-3)   W vs Syracuse (6-6, 4-3)        
Rutgers (8-4, 4-3)              L at Connecticut (8-4, 4-3)     --Bye Week--                    
Connecticut (5-7, 3-4)          W vs Rutgers (5-6, 3-3)         L at Cincinnati (5-7, 3-4)      
South Florida (5-7, 1-7)        L vs Louisville (5-6, 1-6)      L vs West Virginia (5-7, 1-7)   
Syracuse (5-7, 1-6)             L vs Cincinnati (5-6, 1-5)      L at Pittsburgh (5-7, 1-6)      


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SCENARIO 12:
BCS Bid: 
 West Virginia
EXPLANATION: 
 The following teams are tied for the best conference record in the Big East:
Cincinnati (4-3)
Rutgers (4-3)
West Virginia (4-3)
Connecticut (4-3)
Louisville (4-3)
Pittsburgh (4-3)

Within the group, the following teams have identical head-to-head records:
West Virginia (3-2)
Louisville (3-2)
Pittsburgh (3-2)

In this case, the BCS ranking determines the BCS bowl representative. Several factors including overall record, longest active win streak, and current rankings are used to predict the final BCS poll.

However, West Virginia has the best overall record (8-4) among those teams, and is therefore is most likely to have the highest BCS rating and receive the BCS bid.
FULL RESULT: 
 Team                            Week 12                         Week 13                         

Cincinnati (8-4, 4-3)           W at Syracuse (8-3, 4-2)        L vs Connecticut (8-4, 4-3)     
Connecticut (6-6, 4-3)          W vs Rutgers (5-6, 3-3)         W at Cincinnati (6-6, 4-3)      
Louisville (6-6, 4-3)           L at South Florida (6-6, 4-3)   --Bye Week--                    
Pittsburgh (6-6, 4-3)           W at West Virginia (6-5, 4-2)   L vs Syracuse (6-6, 4-3)        
Rutgers (8-4, 4-3)              L at Connecticut (8-4, 4-3)     --Bye Week--                    
West Virginia (8-4, 4-3)        L vs Pittsburgh (7-4, 3-3)      W at South Florida (8-4, 4-3)   
South Florida (6-6, 2-6)        W vs Louisville (6-5, 2-5)      L vs West Virginia (6-6, 2-6)   
Syracuse (6-6, 2-5)             L vs Cincinnati (5-6, 1-5)      W at Pittsburgh (6-6, 2-5)      


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SCENARIO 13:
BCS Bid: 
 West Virginia
EXPLANATION: 
 West Virginia and Rutgers are tied in the Big East conference standings (5-2). However, West Virginia won the head-to-head matchup during the regular season and receives the BCS bid.
FULL RESULT: 
 Team                            Week 12                         Week 13                         

Rutgers (9-3, 5-2)              W at Connecticut (9-3, 5-2)     --Bye Week--                    
West Virginia (9-3, 5-2)        W vs Pittsburgh (8-3, 4-2)      W at South Florida (9-3, 5-2)   
Cincinnati (8-4, 4-3)           W at Syracuse (8-3, 4-2)        L vs Connecticut (8-4, 4-3)     
Louisville (6-6, 4-3)           L at South Florida (6-6, 4-3)   --Bye Week--                    
Pittsburgh (6-6, 4-3)           L at West Virginia (5-6, 3-3)   W vs Syracuse (6-6, 4-3)        
Connecticut (5-7, 3-4)          L vs Rutgers (4-7, 2-4)         W at Cincinnati (5-7, 3-4)      
South Florida (6-6, 2-6)        W vs Louisville (6-5, 2-5)      L vs West Virginia (6-6, 2-6)   
Syracuse (5-7, 1-6)             L vs Cincinnati (5-6, 1-5)      L at Pittsburgh (5-7, 1-6)      


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SCENARIO 14:
BCS Bid: 
 West Virginia
EXPLANATION: 
 West Virginia has the best Big East conference record (5-2)
FULL RESULT: 
 Team                            Week 12                         Week 13                         

West Virginia (9-3, 5-2)        W vs Pittsburgh (8-3, 4-2)      W at South Florida (9-3, 5-2)   
Cincinnati (8-4, 4-3)           L at Syracuse (7-4, 3-3)        W vs Connecticut (8-4, 4-3)     
Louisville (6-6, 4-3)           L at South Florida (6-6, 4-3)   --Bye Week--                    
Rutgers (8-4, 4-3)              L at Connecticut (8-4, 4-3)     --Bye Week--                    
Connecticut (5-7, 3-4)          W vs Rutgers (5-6, 3-3)         L at Cincinnati (5-7, 3-4)      
Pittsburgh (5-7, 3-4)           L at West Virginia (5-6, 3-3)   L vs Syracuse (5-7, 3-4)        
Syracuse (7-5, 3-4)             W vs Cincinnati (6-5, 2-4)      W at Pittsburgh (7-5, 3-4)      
South Florida (6-6, 2-6)        W vs Louisville (6-5, 2-5)      L vs West Virginia (6-6, 2-6)   


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SCENARIO 15:
BCS Bid: 
 West Virginia
EXPLANATION: 
 West Virginia and Rutgers are tied in the Big East conference standings (5-2). However, West Virginia won the head-to-head matchup during the regular season and receives the BCS bid.
FULL RESULT: 
 Team                            Week 12                         Week 13                         

Rutgers (9-3, 5-2)              W at Connecticut (9-3, 5-2)     --Bye Week--                    
West Virginia (9-3, 5-2)        W vs Pittsburgh (8-3, 4-2)      W at South Florida (9-3, 5-2)   
Cincinnati (8-4, 4-3)           L at Syracuse (7-4, 3-3)        W vs Connecticut (8-4, 4-3)     
Louisville (6-6, 4-3)           L at South Florida (6-6, 4-3)   --Bye Week--                    
Pittsburgh (6-6, 4-3)           L at West Virginia (5-6, 3-3)   W vs Syracuse (6-6, 4-3)        
Connecticut (4-8, 2-5)          L vs Rutgers (4-7, 2-4)         L at Cincinnati (4-8, 2-5)      
South Florida (6-6, 2-6)        W vs Louisville (6-5, 2-5)      L vs West Virginia (6-6, 2-6)   
Syracuse (6-6, 2-5)             W vs Cincinnati (6-5, 2-4)      L at Pittsburgh (6-6, 2-5)      


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SCENARIO 16:
BCS Bid: 
 West Virginia
EXPLANATION: 
 West Virginia and Rutgers are tied in the Big East conference standings (5-2). However, West Virginia won the head-to-head matchup during the regular season and receives the BCS bid.
FULL RESULT: 
 Team                            Week 12                         Week 13                         

Rutgers (9-3, 5-2)              W at Connecticut (9-3, 5-2)     --Bye Week--                    
West Virginia (9-3, 5-2)        W vs Pittsburgh (8-3, 4-2)      W at South Florida (9-3, 5-2)   
Cincinnati (8-4, 4-3)           W at Syracuse (8-3, 4-2)        L vs Connecticut (8-4, 4-3)     
Louisville (6-6, 4-3)           L at South Florida (6-6, 4-3)   --Bye Week--                    
Connecticut (5-7, 3-4)          L vs Rutgers (4-7, 2-4)         W at Cincinnati (5-7, 3-4)      
Pittsburgh (5-7, 3-4)           L at West Virginia (5-6, 3-3)   L vs Syracuse (5-7, 3-4)        
South Florida (6-6, 2-6)        W vs Louisville (6-5, 2-5)      L vs West Virginia (6-6, 2-6)   
Syracuse (6-6, 2-5)             L vs Cincinnati (5-6, 1-5)      W at Pittsburgh (6-6, 2-5)      


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SCENARIO 17:
BCS Bid: 
 West Virginia
EXPLANATION: 
 The following teams are tied for the best conference record in the Big East:
Cincinnati (4-3)
Rutgers (4-3)
West Virginia (4-3)
Louisville (4-3)
Pittsburgh (4-3)

West Virginia has the best head-to-head record (3-1) among the group and therefore receives the BCS bid:
West Virginia (3-1)
Cincinnati (2-2)
Rutgers (2-2)
Louisville (2-2)
Pittsburgh (1-3)
FULL RESULT: 
 Team                            Week 12                         Week 13                         

Cincinnati (8-4, 4-3)           L at Syracuse (7-4, 3-3)        W vs Connecticut (8-4, 4-3)     
Louisville (6-6, 4-3)           L at South Florida (6-6, 4-3)   --Bye Week--                    
Pittsburgh (6-6, 4-3)           L at West Virginia (5-6, 3-3)   W vs Syracuse (6-6, 4-3)        
Rutgers (8-4, 4-3)              L at Connecticut (8-4, 4-3)     --Bye Week--                    
West Virginia (8-4, 4-3)        W vs Pittsburgh (8-3, 4-2)      L at South Florida (8-4, 4-3)   
Connecticut (5-7, 3-4)          W vs Rutgers (5-6, 3-3)         L at Cincinnati (5-7, 3-4)      
South Florida (7-5, 3-5)        W vs Louisville (6-5, 2-5)      W vs West Virginia (7-5, 3-5)   
Syracuse (6-6, 2-5)             W vs Cincinnati (6-5, 2-4)      L at Pittsburgh (6-6, 2-5)      


-------------------------------------------

SCENARIO 18:
BCS Bid: 
 West Virginia
EXPLANATION: 
 West Virginia has the best Big East conference record (5-2)
FULL RESULT: 
 Team                            Week 12                         Week 13                         

West Virginia (9-3, 5-2)        W vs Pittsburgh (8-3, 4-2)      W at South Florida (9-3, 5-2)   
Cincinnati (8-4, 4-3)           W at Syracuse (8-3, 4-2)        L vs Connecticut (8-4, 4-3)     
Connecticut (6-6, 4-3)          W vs Rutgers (5-6, 3-3)         W at Cincinnati (6-6, 4-3)      
Louisville (6-6, 4-3)           L at South Florida (6-6, 4-3)   --Bye Week--                    
Rutgers (8-4, 4-3)              L at Connecticut (8-4, 4-3)     --Bye Week--                    
Pittsburgh (5-7, 3-4)           L at West Virginia (5-6, 3-3)   L vs Syracuse (5-7, 3-4)        
South Florida (6-6, 2-6)        W vs Louisville (6-5, 2-5)      L vs West Virginia (6-6, 2-6)   
Syracuse (6-6, 2-5)             L vs Cincinnati (5-6, 1-5)      W at Pittsburgh (6-6, 2-5)      


-------------------------------------------

SCENARIO 19:
BCS Bid: 
 West Virginia
EXPLANATION: 
 The following teams are tied for the best conference record in the Big East:
Cincinnati (4-3)
Rutgers (4-3)
West Virginia (4-3)
Connecticut (4-3)
Louisville (4-3)
Pittsburgh (4-3)

West Virginia has the best head-to-head record (4-1) among the group and therefore receives the BCS bid:
West Virginia (4-1)
Louisville (3-2)
Cincinnati (2-3)
Rutgers (2-3)
Connecticut (2-3)
Pittsburgh (2-3)
FULL RESULT: 
 Team                            Week 12                         Week 13                         

Cincinnati (8-4, 4-3)           W at Syracuse (8-3, 4-2)        L vs Connecticut (8-4, 4-3)     
Connecticut (6-6, 4-3)          W vs Rutgers (5-6, 3-3)         W at Cincinnati (6-6, 4-3)      
Louisville (6-6, 4-3)           L at South Florida (6-6, 4-3)   --Bye Week--                    
Pittsburgh (6-6, 4-3)           L at West Virginia (5-6, 3-3)   W vs Syracuse (6-6, 4-3)        
Rutgers (8-4, 4-3)              L at Connecticut (8-4, 4-3)     --Bye Week--                    
West Virginia (8-4, 4-3)        W vs Pittsburgh (8-3, 4-2)      L at South Florida (8-4, 4-3)   
South Florida (7-5, 3-5)        W vs Louisville (6-5, 2-5)      W vs West Virginia (7-5, 3-5)   
Syracuse (5-7, 1-6)             L vs Cincinnati (5-6, 1-5)      L at Pittsburgh (5-7, 1-6)      


-------------------------------------------

SCENARIO 20:
BCS Bid: 
 West Virginia
EXPLANATION: 
 The following teams are tied for the best conference record in the Big East:
Cincinnati (5-2)
Rutgers (5-2)
West Virginia (5-2)

West Virginia has the best head-to-head record (2-0) among the group and therefore receives the BCS bid:
West Virginia (2-0)
Rutgers (1-1)
Cincinnati (0-2)
FULL RESULT: 
 Team                            Week 12                         Week 13                         

Cincinnati (9-3, 5-2)           W at Syracuse (8-3, 4-2)        W vs Connecticut (9-3, 5-2)     
Rutgers (9-3, 5-2)              W at Connecticut (9-3, 5-2)     --Bye Week--                    
West Virginia (9-3, 5-2)        W vs Pittsburgh (8-3, 4-2)      W at South Florida (9-3, 5-2)   
Louisville (6-6, 4-3)           L at South Florida (6-6, 4-3)   --Bye Week--                    
Pittsburgh (5-7, 3-4)           L at West Virginia (5-6, 3-3)   L vs Syracuse (5-7, 3-4)        
Connecticut (4-8, 2-5)          L vs Rutgers (4-7, 2-4)         L at Cincinnati (4-8, 2-5)      
South Florida (6-6, 2-6)        W vs Louisville (6-5, 2-5)      L vs West Virginia (6-6, 2-6)   
Syracuse (6-6, 2-5)             L vs Cincinnati (5-6, 1-5)      W at Pittsburgh (6-6, 2-5)      


-------------------------------------------

SCENARIO 21:
BCS Bid: 
 West Virginia
EXPLANATION: 
 West Virginia and Cincinnati are tied in the Big East conference standings (5-2). However, West Virginia won the head-to-head matchup during the regular season and receives the BCS bid.
FULL RESULT: 
 Team                            Week 12                         Week 13                         

Cincinnati (9-3, 5-2)           W at Syracuse (8-3, 4-2)        W vs Connecticut (9-3, 5-2)     
West Virginia (9-3, 5-2)        W vs Pittsburgh (8-3, 4-2)      W at South Florida (9-3, 5-2)   
Louisville (6-6, 4-3)           L at South Florida (6-6, 4-3)   --Bye Week--                    
Rutgers (8-4, 4-3)              L at Connecticut (8-4, 4-3)     --Bye Week--                    
Connecticut (5-7, 3-4)          W vs Rutgers (5-6, 3-3)         L at Cincinnati (5-7, 3-4)      
Pittsburgh (5-7, 3-4)           L at West Virginia (5-6, 3-3)   L vs Syracuse (5-7, 3-4)        
South Florida (6-6, 2-6)        W vs Louisville (6-5, 2-5)      L vs West Virginia (6-6, 2-6)   
Syracuse (6-6, 2-5)             L vs Cincinnati (5-6, 1-5)      W at Pittsburgh (6-6, 2-5)      


-------------------------------------------

SCENARIO 22:
BCS Bid: 
 West Virginia
EXPLANATION: 
 The following teams are tied for the best conference record in the Big East:
Cincinnati (4-3)
Rutgers (4-3)
West Virginia (4-3)
Louisville (4-3)

Within the group, the following teams have identical head-to-head records:
West Virginia (2-1)
Louisville (2-1)

In this case, the BCS ranking determines the BCS bowl representative. Several factors including overall record, longest active win streak, and current rankings are used to predict the final BCS poll.

However, West Virginia has the best overall record (8-4) among those teams, and is therefore is most likely to have the highest BCS rating and receive the BCS bid.
FULL RESULT: 
 Team                            Week 12                         Week 13                         

Cincinnati (8-4, 4-3)           L at Syracuse (7-4, 3-3)        W vs Connecticut (8-4, 4-3)     
Louisville (6-6, 4-3)           L at South Florida (6-6, 4-3)   --Bye Week--                    
Rutgers (8-4, 4-3)              L at Connecticut (8-4, 4-3)     --Bye Week--                    
West Virginia (8-4, 4-3)        W vs Pittsburgh (8-3, 4-2)      L at South Florida (8-4, 4-3)   
Connecticut (5-7, 3-4)          W vs Rutgers (5-6, 3-3)         L at Cincinnati (5-7, 3-4)      
Pittsburgh (5-7, 3-4)           L at West Virginia (5-6, 3-3)   L vs Syracuse (5-7, 3-4)        
South Florida (7-5, 3-5)        W vs Louisville (6-5, 2-5)      W vs West Virginia (7-5, 3-5)   
Syracuse (7-5, 3-4)             W vs Cincinnati (6-5, 2-4)      W at Pittsburgh (7-5, 3-4)      


-------------------------------------------

SCENARIO 23:
BCS Bid: 
 West Virginia
EXPLANATION: 
 West Virginia has the best Big East conference record (5-2)
FULL RESULT: 
 Team                            Week 12                         Week 13                         

West Virginia (9-3, 5-2)        W vs Pittsburgh (8-3, 4-2)      W at South Florida (9-3, 5-2)   
Cincinnati (8-4, 4-3)           W at Syracuse (8-3, 4-2)        L vs Connecticut (8-4, 4-3)     
Connecticut (6-6, 4-3)          W vs Rutgers (5-6, 3-3)         W at Cincinnati (6-6, 4-3)      
Louisville (6-6, 4-3)           L at South Florida (6-6, 4-3)   --Bye Week--                    
Pittsburgh (6-6, 4-3)           L at West Virginia (5-6, 3-3)   W vs Syracuse (6-6, 4-3)        
Rutgers (8-4, 4-3)              L at Connecticut (8-4, 4-3)     --Bye Week--                    
South Florida (6-6, 2-6)        W vs Louisville (6-5, 2-5)      L vs West Virginia (6-6, 2-6)   
Syracuse (5-7, 1-6)             L vs Cincinnati (5-6, 1-5)      L at Pittsburgh (5-7, 1-6)      


-------------------------------------------

SCENARIO 24:
BCS Bid: 
 West Virginia
EXPLANATION: 
 The following teams are tied for the best conference record in the Big East:
Cincinnati (4-3)
Rutgers (4-3)
West Virginia (4-3)
Louisville (4-3)
Pittsburgh (4-3)

Within the group, the following teams have identical head-to-head records:
Cincinnati (2-2)
Rutgers (2-2)
West Virginia (2-2)
Louisville (2-2)
Pittsburgh (2-2)

In this case, the BCS ranking determines the BCS bowl representative. Several factors including overall record, longest active win streak, and current rankings are used to predict the final BCS poll.

Of those with identical head-to-head records, the following teams are also tied for best overall season records:
Cincinnati (8-4)
West Virginia (8-4)
Rutgers (8-4)

And finally, the following teams are also tied for longest active win streak:
Cincinnati (1 wins)
West Virginia (1 wins)

In this case, the last option is to use the current BCS standings to predict the final outcome. West Virginia is ranked the highest in the extended BCS standings, and is therefore most likely to have the highest BCS rating and receive the BCS bid.
FULL RESULT: 
 Team                            Week 12                         Week 13                         

Cincinnati (8-4, 4-3)           L at Syracuse (7-4, 3-3)        W vs Connecticut (8-4, 4-3)     
Louisville (6-6, 4-3)           L at South Florida (6-6, 4-3)   --Bye Week--                    
Pittsburgh (6-6, 4-3)           W at West Virginia (6-5, 4-2)   L vs Syracuse (6-6, 4-3)        
Rutgers (8-4, 4-3)              L at Connecticut (8-4, 4-3)     --Bye Week--                    
West Virginia (8-4, 4-3)        L vs Pittsburgh (7-4, 3-3)      W at South Florida (8-4, 4-3)   
Connecticut (5-7, 3-4)          W vs Rutgers (5-6, 3-3)         L at Cincinnati (5-7, 3-4)      
Syracuse (7-5, 3-4)             W vs Cincinnati (6-5, 2-4)      W at Pittsburgh (7-5, 3-4)      
South Florida (6-6, 2-6)        W vs Louisville (6-5, 2-5)      L vs West Virginia (6-6, 2-6)   


-------------------------------------------

SCENARIO 25:
BCS Bid: 
 West Virginia
EXPLANATION: 
 West Virginia has the best Big East conference record (5-2)
FULL RESULT: 
 Team                            Week 12                         Week 13                         

West Virginia (9-3, 5-2)        W vs Pittsburgh (8-3, 4-2)      W at South Florida (9-3, 5-2)   
Connecticut (6-6, 4-3)          W vs Rutgers (5-6, 3-3)         W at Cincinnati (6-6, 4-3)      
Louisville (6-6, 4-3)           L at South Florida (6-6, 4-3)   --Bye Week--                    
Rutgers (8-4, 4-3)              L at Connecticut (8-4, 4-3)     --Bye Week--                    
Cincinnati (7-5, 3-4)           L at Syracuse (7-4, 3-3)        L vs Connecticut (7-5, 3-4)     
Pittsburgh (5-7, 3-4)           L at West Virginia (5-6, 3-3)   L vs Syracuse (5-7, 3-4)        
Syracuse (7-5, 3-4)             W vs Cincinnati (6-5, 2-4)      W at Pittsburgh (7-5, 3-4)      
South Florida (6-6, 2-6)        W vs Louisville (6-5, 2-5)      L vs West Virginia (6-6, 2-6)   


-------------------------------------------

SCENARIO 26:
BCS Bid: 
 West Virginia
EXPLANATION: 
 West Virginia and Rutgers are tied in the Big East conference standings (5-2). However, West Virginia won the head-to-head matchup during the regular season and receives the BCS bid.
FULL RESULT: 
 Team                            Week 12                         Week 13                         

Rutgers (9-3, 5-2)              W at Connecticut (9-3, 5-2)     --Bye Week--                    
West Virginia (9-3, 5-2)        W vs Pittsburgh (8-3, 4-2)      W at South Florida (9-3, 5-2)   
Cincinnati (8-4, 4-3)           L at Syracuse (7-4, 3-3)        W vs Connecticut (8-4, 4-3)     
Louisville (6-6, 4-3)           L at South Florida (6-6, 4-3)   --Bye Week--                    
Pittsburgh (5-7, 3-4)           L at West Virginia (5-6, 3-3)   L vs Syracuse (5-7, 3-4)        
Syracuse (7-5, 3-4)             W vs Cincinnati (6-5, 2-4)      W at Pittsburgh (7-5, 3-4)      
Connecticut (4-8, 2-5)          L vs Rutgers (4-7, 2-4)         L at Cincinnati (4-8, 2-5)      
South Florida (6-6, 2-6)        W vs Louisville (6-5, 2-5)      L vs West Virginia (6-6, 2-6)   


-------------------------------------------

SCENARIO 27:
BCS Bid: 
 West Virginia
EXPLANATION: 
 West Virginia and Cincinnati are tied in the Big East conference standings (5-2). However, West Virginia won the head-to-head matchup during the regular season and receives the BCS bid.
FULL RESULT: 
 Team                            Week 12                         Week 13                         

Cincinnati (9-3, 5-2)           W at Syracuse (8-3, 4-2)        W vs Connecticut (9-3, 5-2)     
West Virginia (9-3, 5-2)        W vs Pittsburgh (8-3, 4-2)      W at South Florida (9-3, 5-2)   
Louisville (6-6, 4-3)           L at South Florida (6-6, 4-3)   --Bye Week--                    
Pittsburgh (6-6, 4-3)           L at West Virginia (5-6, 3-3)   W vs Syracuse (6-6, 4-3)        
Rutgers (8-4, 4-3)              L at Connecticut (8-4, 4-3)     --Bye Week--                    
Connecticut (5-7, 3-4)          W vs Rutgers (5-6, 3-3)         L at Cincinnati (5-7, 3-4)      
South Florida (6-6, 2-6)        W vs Louisville (6-5, 2-5)      L vs West Virginia (6-6, 2-6)   
Syracuse (5-7, 1-6)             L vs Cincinnati (5-6, 1-5)      L at Pittsburgh (5-7, 1-6)      

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